◆ left917 original News Josh Owen Watauga

Nobody Nationally Is Watching NC-5. We are.

Forecasters call it Likely Republican. A rural district's margin is still one place a changing tide first shows up.

At 83, Foxx has represented North Carolina's 5th District since January 2005. That's 11 election cycles over two decades. Most of today’s App State freshmen were not born yet.

Voters in Watauga and Ashe counties, along with the rest of the NC-5 district, choose again this year. On the ballot with her are Democrat Chuck Hubbard, who ran (and lost) against her in 2024, and Libertarian Robert B. Luffman.

No national forecaster treats it as a toss-up. The Cook Political Report moved the race from Solid to Likely Republican on Oct. 30 and gives the district a partisan lean of R+9.

Chuck Hubbard, a career journalist and Wilkes County native, announced a second run against Foxx in April 2025. He won the Democratic primary on March 3 with 56.7% of the vote over Kyah Creekmore. As of mid-October he had raised about $863,000 to her $2.2 million. If elected, Hubbard says he would overturn Citizens United, ban stock trading by members of Congress, and push for transparency on Helene recovery money.

Unlike Hubbard, Foxx, with two decades in Congress, has a long and public record to read. She has won eleven elections and chairs the House Rules Committee. In May, she answered a ten-year-old’s school essay on electric car rebates by telling him to ask his teacher to explain propaganda. In July, at a Rules Committee hearing, she compared the SAVE America Act’s photo ID requirement to the one Olive Garden asks for its Never-Ending Pasta Pass. Which, you know, maybe people really like pasta.

Seven of the district’s ten counties are mostly rural. By the 2020 Census definition, about two-thirds of residents in the nine counties it holds whole live in rural areas. Ashe is 100% rural. Of those nine, only Caldwell and Watauga have an urban majority. That helps explain a seat that has elected Foxx eleven times.

Foxx’s lowest share in eleven general elections has been 57.0%, in 2018, the midterm Democrats took the U.S. House.

Does she come near 57.0%? How do Watauga and Ashe, the district’s High Country counties, vote?

We aren’t sure if a constitutional right and never-ending pasta are a fair comparison — but voter ID is on the ballot again for NC and the voters get to make their opinion known.

Results for The High Country post at left917.net/vote.

Josh edits left917. Send tips and corrections to studio@left917.net.

A left917 original · from left917

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